Verification for Unknown Autographer | Item # 1227

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Autograph Authentication – Unknown

Confidence Grade: C (Likely NOT Authentic)


Overview

A visual and forensic examination was conducted on the signature displayed on the baseball image provided. The item shows signs of aging, and the signature appears to be performed with a felt-tip marker in black ink. Based on pressure cues and letter construction, there are characteristics suggesting the attempt at a freehand signature, but multiple irregularities raise concerns regarding authenticity.

Candidate Identity (Investigative)

Preliminary comparison using comprehensive internal exemplars yields the following identity hypotheses based on graphemic and stylistic features:

  1. Pete RoseConfidence: Medium
  • Notable similarity in “P” and mid-stroke flow. However, inconsistencies in final “e” loop structure and spacing prevent a high-confidence match.
  1. Gordie HoweConfidence: Low
  • Some likeness in looping patterns and terminal flourish elements, but major disparities in stroke sequence.
  1. Josh Bell (Baseball)Confidence: Low
  • Angular downstroke and some flow resemblance but lacks structural consistency strength.
  1. No reliable identity match for the signature with High confidence.
  • As none of the matches rise to a high-confidence threshold, the report proceeds under “Unknown” as the autographer.

Forensic Ink and Substrate Evaluation

  • Ink Characteristics:

  • The ink appears to be applied with a felt-tip marker, which matches with post-1960s autograph tools, common for both authentic and forged autographs.

  • There are visible pressure variations in select strokes, most notably in the initial large loop capital letter. However, this pressure is inconsistently applied.

  • Ink-Substrate Interaction:

  • The ink has moderately penetrated the leather surface (consistent with hand-signed application), but some areas show bleed diffusion, especially in the lower mid-stroke area.

  • Evidence of ink feathering may be due to absorption or moisture exposure which complicates substrate-line analysis.

  • Substrate Condition:

  • The baseball shows signs of natural aging (yellowing, leather wear, and faint green-ink signatures possibly beneath or adjacent).

  • However, the contrast between the very dark primary signature and subtler older marks raises suspicion—it could indicate a more recent addition on an aged ball to feign authenticity.


Individual Signature Analysis

  • Stroke Quality:

  • Variation in stroke pressure is present but minimal. There’s noticeable uniformity in the middle region, and the vertical strokes appear mechanical, with limited tapering.

  • There is a lack of hesitation, suggesting speed—but faster signatures can also be symptomatic of forged signings done with overconfidence or practiced rhythm.

  • Flourish Features:

  • The first character includes a dramatic upward-opening loop consistent with stylized initials.

  • The final stroke cuts sharply and vertically downward—abrupt, possibly inconsistent with natural autograph flow.

  • Pen Lifts and Rhythm:

  • Evaluation under simulated 10x reveals irregular pen lifts, particularly between the name’s stem and curve portions—this might indicate trace-copy behavior or a skilled mimic of authentic rhythm.

  • No Autopen or Print Match:

  • No discernible mechanical micro-wobbles, pixel-for-pixel uniformity, or laser/inkjet print indicators, suggesting the signature is not produced by autopen or digital reproduction.

  • Degradation/Smudging:

  • None prominent around the signature edges relative to surrounding areas—suggests unnatural preservation for the ink vs. the ball wear.


Collective Signature Analysis

  • Signature Prominence vs. Subordinate Markings:

  • The boldness and freshness of the central signature sharply contrasts with other faint or deteriorating inscriptions.

  • Suggests this name was added significantly later or is an outlier in terms of authenticity amongst possible multi-signature items.

  • Placement Strategy:

  • Centrally placed dominating signature is typical of added “hero signature” practices in re-creations or fakes aiming for display value.


Red Flags

  • Suspicious Ink Aging: Ink appears disproportionately fresh considering the aged baseball surface.
  • Signature Boldness Disparity: Primary signature is sharply inked versus other visible markings—a sign that consistent aging did not occur.
  • Pen Lift Inconsistencies: Irregular lift behaviors challenge the hypothesis of a naturally flowing, habitual signature.
  • No High Confidence Identity Match: Despite internal comparisons, no high-confidence match was achieved, lowering certainty.

Market Comparison and Similar Item Sales

Due to lack of a confirmed identity, direct comps must be generalized.

  • Autographed vintage baseballs (Unknown Autographer, felt-tip over aged substrate):
  • eBay: Unverified “vintage-style” signed balls often sell for $20 to $50 pending visual appeal.
  • Heritage Auctions: Unauthenticated balls of unknown origin typically estimate under $100 and often fail to meet reserve pricing.
  • Known-Signer examples:
  • With properly authenticated signatures (e.g., PSA/DNA), vintage baseballs signed by players like Pete Rose or Mickey Mantle can range from $150 to $2,000+ depending on condition and authentication.

Note: Due to insufficient identity certainty, no named comps are formally cited.


Final Determination: Although there’s no explicit mechanical duplication (e.g., autopen), the signature shows multiple suspicious attributes that fall outside reliable, hand-signed criteria. The ink application, disproportionate contrast with the aged substrate, and lack of verifiable identity all factor into a conservative authenticity evaluation.


Confidence Grade: C – Likely NOT Authentic


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